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How do you know whom to trust? - Ram Neta

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TEDEd Animation

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We believe a lot of things because we’ve been told - from our personal acquaintances and also experts. With so many belief systems being passed to us, how do we know whom to trust? Using contemporary examples, Ram Neta explains when listening to experts is a good idea...and when it’s not.

Nate has been forecasting the results of horse races,and makes a correct prediction 85% of the time. Today, Nate predicts that Silverado will win the horse race. Today’s horse race (like most of the others that Nate has considered) is a race among 10 horses. There is nothing that specially distinguishes today’s horse race from others or that distinguishes Silverado from other horses that Nate has predicted to win. How confident should you be that Silverado will win?

About TED-Ed Animations

TED-Ed Animations feature the words and ideas of educators brought to life by professional animators. Are you an educator or animator interested in creating a TED-Ed Animation? Nominate yourself here »

Meet The Creators

  • Animator Colleen Cox
  • Educator Ram Neta
  • Narrator Ram Neta

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