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Can you solve the frog riddle? - Derek Abbott

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TEDEd Animation

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You’re stranded in a rainforest, and you’ve eaten a poisonous mushroom. To save your life, you need an antidote excreted by a certain species of frog. Unfortunately, only the female frog produces the antidote. The male and female look identical, but the male frog has a distinctive croak. Derek Abbott shows how to use conditional probability to make sure you lick the right frog and get out alive.

Is probability fixed, or is it something that changes depending on the information available to the observer? Describe what happens in terms of the sample space.

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TED-Ed Animations feature the words and ideas of educators brought to life by professional animators. Are you an educator or animator interested in creating a TED-Ed Animation? Nominate yourself here »

Meet The Creators

  • Educator Derek Abbott
  • Script Editor Alex Gendler
  • Director Outis
  • Narrator Addison Anderson

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