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Additional Resources for you to Explore
Recruit a few friends and try Donnelly’s coin toss experiment yourself.  Do you get the same result? Follow up on the Sally Clark case. Begin with her conviction in 1999 and research what happened to Clark and the other key people involved. Did the case catalyze any legal reforms in Britain (or elsewhere)?  You might begin your research by constructing a timeline from available news reports; search for “Sally Clark 1999” in the archives of one or more of the following: The Guardian The Telegraph BBC The Federation of Defense and Corporate Counsel Quarterly:The presentation of probability to the jury (Winter 2011)   Plus: It’s a match (07/12/2010)   Understanding Uncertainty:  Convicted on Statistics? TED: Arthur Benjamin’s formula for changing math education
As you can see this is something that others grapple with as well.  Keep practicing and working on the probability!
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Alicia Testa
Lesson Creator
Princeton, NJ, United States